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◄ SIGNAL ARCHIVE
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SIGNAL DETAIL

# DATE: 09-16-2026

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# LIFECYCLE

# RECORD STATUS:ACTIVE
# SIGNAL SESSION (TARGET DATE):09-16-2026
# RECORD CREATED:09-15-2026 (UTC 2026-09-15 22:33:59)
# DATA AS OF (DATA TIMESTAMP):09-15-2026 (UTC 2026-09-15 22:33:59)
# SCORECARD SCHEMA VERSION:V2 — VERSIONED CONTRACT
# MODEL VERSION:2026.08-production-ranking-v1

THIS RECORD IS THE PUBLISHED SIGNAL FOR ITS TARGET SESSION. PRICES ARE THE SIGNAL-CLOSE REFERENCE VALUES, NOT LIVE QUOTES.

# ELIGIBILITY: RELAXED FALLBACK

THE STRICT SCREEN RETURNED NO ELIGIBLE SIGNAL FOR THIS PRICE TIER, SO THE RELAXED FALLBACK PUBLISHED THE BEST REMAINING CANDIDATE. HARD EXCLUSIONS (PRICE BOUNDS, MINIMUM VOLUME, MINIMUM MARKET CAP, ATR RANGE, RSI RANGE, EARNINGS EXCLUSION, UNIVERSE EXCLUSIONS) STILL APPLIED. THE FOLLOWING STRICT-SCREEN PREFERENCES WERE NOT MET:

  • ▸ 5-day change -9.42% below the strict-screen preference of -3%
  • ▸ volume ratio 0.58 below the strict-screen preference of 0.8
  • ▸ quality grade F below the tier minimum (A/B/C)

THESE SIGNALS SKIP THE FULL QUALITY/STRUCTURAL SCREEN — ELEVATED RISK VERSUS STRICT-SCREEN SIGNALS.

NVAX
# COMPANY NAME UNAVAILABLE FOR THIS SNAPSHOT
$9.23REFERENCE PRICE (SIGNAL CLOSE)
# BUY BETWEEN:$9.14 — $9.23
# GOAL PRICE:$9.60
# STRETCH GOAL:$10.61
# SELL IF IT DROPS TO:$9.09
# HOW LONG TO HOLD:1-3 WEEKS
# CONFIDENCE:12/100
# RISK LEVEL:HIGH

# SCORECARD

VALUE

0

/25

QUALITY

0

/25 · NO DATA

MOMENTUM

1.9

/4

TREND

1.3

/4

TECHNICALS

10

/22

RISK MGMT

6

/20

TOTAL PICK SCORE: 13

TOTAL = CATEGORY TOTAL 16 CONFLUENCE -3. SCORE IS RELATIVE MODEL OUTPUT, NOT A PROBABILITY OR RETURN FORECAST.

SIGNAL AGREEMENT: 2 OF 11 FACTOR GROUPS ABOVE MIDPOINT

# WHY THIS PICK

  • ▸Out of 399 stocks analyzed, this one ranked in the top 50%
  • ▸2 out of 11 signals agree this is a good buy
  • ▸Company quality: UNAVAILABLE — no fundamental data arrived for this snapshot
  • ▸Currently $9.23, trading 7.27% above its 50-day average
  • ▸Has a price floor around $9.14 where buyers tend to step in
  • ▸Potential gain of $0.37 per share vs potential loss of $0.14 — risk/reward 2.64:1
  • ▸MOMENTUM · 1-MONTH — up 14.66% this month
  • ▸TREND · SMA50 — holding above weekly average, 7.27% above its 50-day average price
  • ▸VOLUME · OBV — money has been flowing into this stock
  • ▸VOLUME · MFI — money flow looks healthy
  • ▸RSI · RSI14 — Buying pressure: price is in a comfortable range with room to grow
  • ▸VS MARKET — Beating the overall market by 17.1% this month

# WHAT COULD WEAKEN THE THESIS

  • ▸MOMENTUM · 1-DAY — Price down 3.75% today
  • ▸MOMENTUM · 5-DAY — down 9.42% this week
  • ▸VOLUME — Trading volume is below average
  • ▸MACD — Trend is currently pointing down

# CONTEXT SIGNALS (NEUTRAL)

  • VOLUME — not much interest right now
  • BOLLINGER · BANDS — Price is right in the middle of its normal range
  • ADX · ADX14 — Stock is trending in a clear direction
  • FUNDAMENTALS — Value: Limited valuation data | Quality: Limited quality data
  • RISK/REWARD — High daily volatility
  • VALUE — Limited valuation data

# DATA SOURCES

NVAX Price Data — Yahoo Finance

Technical Analysis — StockVera

Fundamental Snapshot — StockVera

# UPDATED: 09-15-2026 (UTC 2026-09-15 22:33:59)